March
24, 2001
Dow Jones Industrial Average 9504.78
NASDAQ Composite 1928.68
Our
portfolios continue to remain diversified. Our portfolios contain a blend of
high quality bonds (generally via closed end bond funds trading on the New York
Stock Exchange and selling at a discount to Net Asset Value) and what we
consider to be Value Common Stocks. For our Non Retirement Plan accounts we
have been using selective short positions over the last year or so.
We are constantly researching both current and potential future investments.
For years clients were asking us why our portfolios did not include such names
as Lucent Technologies, Cisco Systems, various Dot.coms and other similar companies,
which were perceived as growth investments.
We were concerned for a long time, with the valuations that were being
assigned to those companies. Now that the valuations have dropped so
significantly, we have started accumulating positions in several of these
companies. We have started investing in some of these types of companies after
they have lost well in excess of 50 % off of their market highs (some have
experienced losses in excess of 90 % in value, before we started our
accumulation).
The
technology sector has taken a tremendous hit over the last year or so, yet
without understanding the parameters of a specific company and industry,
investing in these specific companies can remain painfully unprofitable or at
the least, dangerous because of a lack of understanding of both valuations and
the industry. We are very cognizant of emerging technologies, the business
climate of the technology industry, especially the fiber optic sector that
includes such companies as Ciena, Corvis, Corning, Avanex, Nortel, Lucent,
Cisco and Sycamore Systems. We continue
to watch the fiber-optic sector very closely, as we feel that it is the “heart”
of future technologies. The industry is a difficult industry to understand. The
competition is fierce and disruptive. The industry is in a hyper growth stage,
yet it faces the potential of future commoditization.
As
we all know, these are financially stressful
times. Our goal is to complement our managed portfolios with our
inordinate amount of unbiased research into specific companies and
industries. We are quite willing to
recognize our mistakes and we are constantly trying to find mistakes in our
current research. We generally only invest for the long-term. When we begin accumulating
a position we realize that the results of our investment may take upwards of 5
years or more to show positive returns. We realize that these returns may not
ever materialize. Because of this, we continue to emphasize diversified
portfolios.
Our
investment philosophies are based on the research techniques developed by
successful “old timers” like Benjamin Graham, Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger,
John Templeton, David Dreman and Peter Lynch, just to name a few (there are so
many others). When we purchase a
position in a company, our goal is to keep that investment in our portfolio for
a period of time, which my second favorite investor (Warren Buffett) calls
forever.
Listed below are several companies, which we are currently holding as core investments. Please be very aware that by mentioning these companies we are NOT recommending them to you for purchase. It is quite possible that the companies mentioned in this section could be eliminated from our portfolios tomorrow. We are mentioning these companies for a reference and as a means of discussion. The following companies are investments we have purchased during the last week.
| Lucent Technologies (LU) |
11.62 |
| AT&T (T) | 21.32 |
| Hasbro (HAS) |
12.60 |
| Occidental Petroleum (OXY) | 23.72 |
| Avanex (AVNX) |
15.44 |
| Alcoa (AA) |
34.04 |
Disclaimer
Information herein is believed to be reliable, but its accuracy and
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Opinions, estimates, and projections
constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice. This
publication is provided to you for information purposes only and is not
intended as an offer or solicitation. Redfield, Blonsky & Co. LLC and
Ronald R Redfield, CPA, PFS, may hold a position or act as an advisor on any
investments mentioned in a report or discussion.