February 11, 2014 (DJIA 15,801.79  , S&P500 1,799.84   )     Weather is certainly having an economic effect in America during Winter 2013/2014

 

Historically weather has been used as a poor excuse for companies performing poorly. Many analysts and news media are criticizing these companies, and suggesting they are using a text book type old excuse. I think that weather in the late December through today has been a valid reason for many companies reporting reduced sales and profits (e.g. Walmart). We have certainly had a cold January and so far February on the East Coast. On the same token, natural gas prices have risen since mid November 2013, and this could lead to unexpected higher profits for certain utility companies. During the fourth quarter of 2013, natural gas prices averaged around $4.00, with a low near $3.50 and a high near $4.50. During 2014, the low was around $3.90, went as high as around $5.70, and is priced at $4.76 today. Natural gas was priced over $13.00 in 2008. Utilities typically base their regulated rates on the price of natural gas.

As always, we welcome the opportunity to discuss our outlook and investments with you.

Please feel free to contact me with anything you would like to discuss. Feel free to ask general questions on our Facebook page as well

 


Ron
 
Ronald R. Redfield  cpa, pfs
Redfield, Blonsky & Co. LLC
15 North Union Avenue
Cranford, NJ 07016-1103
 
www.rbcpa.com

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908 276 7226  phone
908 276 7274  fax

Disclaimer 

 

If you are a client of ours, and if you have questions regarding the company or investment mentioned in this report  please call our office. If you are not a client of Redfield, Blonsky & Co. LLC Investment Management Division and are reading these notes, we urge you to do your own research. We will not be responsible for any person making an investment decision based on these notes. These notes are a "by-product" of our research. We are not responsible for the accuracy of these notes. We are not responsible for errors that may occur in these notes.  Please do not rely on us to monitor or update this or any other report we may issue. In theory, we could come across some type of data or idea, which causes us to eliminate our long or short  position of the company or investment mentioned in this report   from our portfolios.  We will not notify readerís revisions to these notes. We are not responsible to keep readers of these notes updated for changes or material errors or for any reason whatsoever.   We manage portfolios for clients, and those clients are our greatest concern as it relates to investing. Certain clients of Redfield, Blonsky & Co LLC may not have the company or investment mentioned in this report   in their portfolios. There could be various reasons for this. Again, if you would like to discuss the company or investment mentioned in this report  , please contact Ronald R. Redfield, CPA, PFS (partner in charge of investment management division).  

Information herein is believed to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Opinions, estimates, and projections constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice. This publication is provided to you for information

Important Disclosures
 
1. Redfield, Blonsky & Co., LLC (RBCo), only transacts business in states where it is properly registered, or excluded or exempted from registration requirements.
 
2. Past performance assumes reinvestment of dividends and other distributions and may not be indicative of future results. Therefore, no current or prospective client should assume that the future performance of any specific investment, investment strategy (including the investments and/or investment strategies recommended and/or purchased by adviser), or product made reference to directly or indirectly in this presentation or on our website, or indirectly via a link to any third-party website, will be profitable or equal to corresponding indicated performance levels. The investment return and principal value of an investment will fluctuate and, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost.
 
3. Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk, and there can be no assurance that any specific investment will either be suitable or profitable for a clientís investment portfolio. No client or prospective client should assume that information presented is a substitute for personalized individual advice from the adviser or any other investment professional.
 
4. Historical performance results for investment indexes, such as the S&P 500, generally do not reflect the deduction of transaction and/or custodial charges or the deduction of an investment-management fee, the incurrence of which would have the effect of decreasing historical performance results of the S&P 500 Index.  Whenever RBCO performance is referred to, results have been reduced by all fees, including RBCO management fee.

 

5. Returns for the RBCO portfolios have been calculated using actual time-weighted returns obtained from all accounts over the time periods indicated. All RBCO returns assume the reinvestment of dividends and are shown net of the investment management fees and all other expenses.  Please see our form ADV for a full fee disclosure.  Actual individual account performance may be materially different from our composite results. 

 

6. RBCO files an annual form ADV, which includes an easy to read brochure.  Form ADV is a valuable read for anyone interested in learning more about RBCO.  Additional information about Redfield, Blonsky & Co., LLC is also available on the SECís website at www.adviserinfo.sec.gov . The searchable IARD/CRD number for Redfield, Blonsky & Co., LLC is 128714.

 

7. The S&P 500 Index is a widely recognized, unmanaged index of 500 of the largest companies in the United States as measured by market capitalization. The S&P 500 Index performance assumes reinvestment of all dividends and distributions and does not reflect any charges for investment management fees or transaction expenses, nor does the Index reflect any effects of taxes, fees or other types of charges and expenses. The S&P 500 Index is one of many indices and is not necessarily the most appropriate index when comparing performance results.