June 19, 2009 Ten Guidelines from Richard Bernstein on His Final Day at Merrill
Richard Bernstein is a
respected market strategist. He recently left Merrill Lynch (BAC) after 20
Years. On his last day, he meshed 20 years of service into these 10
investment guidelines:
Tomorrow (Around April 15, 2009) will be my last day at Merrill Lynch. I
want to sincerely thank my colleagues and clients for the opportunity to work
with them. It is because of them that my 20 years at the firm have been so
rewarding.
As a last report, here are what I view as 10 of the most important investment
guidelines I’ve learned in my time at the firm:
1. Income is as important as are capital gains. Because most
investors ignore income opportunities, income may be more important than are
capital gains.
2. Most stock market indicators have never actually been tested.
Most don’t work.
3. Most investors’ time horizons are much too short. Statistics
indicate that day trading is largely based on luck.
4. Bull markets are made of risk
aversion and undervalued assets. They are not made of cheering and a rush to buy.
5. Diversification doesn’t depend on the number of asset classes in
a portfolio. Rather, it depends on the correlations between the asset classes in
a portfolio.
6. Balance sheets are generally more important than are income or cash
flow statements.
7. Investors should focus strongly on GAAP accounting, and should
pay little attention to “pro forma” or “unaudited” financial statements.
8. Investors should be providers of scarce capital. Return on
capital is typically highest where capital is scarce.
9. Investors should research financial history as much as possible.
10. Leverage gives the illusion of wealth. Saving is wealth.
The more I read these, the more I appreciate their simplicity and value.